Market Trends Newsletter

Local Market Trends

The following information is from the local MLS database, as of September 1, 2010 and is compared to (August 2, 2010).  The Tracy Market continues to be dominated with bank owned and short sale inventory.  The lack of inventory and abundance of buyers have created multiple offer situations on almost every active listing there by creating over bidding.  Appraisal is still at issue as if the home gets bided up it still must appraise for value.  Interest Rates are 4.36% for a 30-year fixed. This is the lowest since they have been tracking rates.  Buyers consist of first time buyers and investors. If you are interested in a little more market information feel free to give us a call, we are always happy to talk about the market. 

Tracy, CA

ACTIVE Status

Total # of residential properties for sale in the city of Tracy: 406 (384)

# of REO (foreclosures): 49 (46)

# of Short Sales: 289 (272)

Average # of days on market: 68 (60)

The median price of all homes for sale in Tracy: $240,000 ($249,900)

The average price of all homes for sale in Tracy: $253,917 ($267,399)

Lowest priced home: 1bd/440 sq. ft. /$31,700

Highest priced home: 18bd/8,112 sq. ft. /$1,999,000

Square Feet

# of homes for sale in Tracy

Median List Price

Average List Price

1,000 to 1,400

22

$154,500

$195,784

1,500 to 2,000

36

$207,400

$205,421

2,000 to 4,000

48

$299,900

$317,883

PENDING Status

Number of properties currently under agreement: 237 (249)

# of REO: 65 (59)

# of Short Sales: 130 (140)

Average pending price: $225,357 ($222,672)

Average pending home is 4 bedrooms, 2,002 square feet at a price of $225,357 that stays 41 days on the market.

Square Feet

# of homes for pending in Tracy

Median Pending Price

Average Pending Price

1,000 to 1,400

46

$149,900

$147,658

1,500 to 2,000

64

$210,000

$204,057

2,000 to 4,000

105

$274,500

$282,653

SOLD Status

Residential property sold over previous 30 days: 105 homes or $23,404,453 in sales (97 homes or $22,996,233 in sales)

REO’s sold in the last month: 30 (33)

Short sales sold in the last month: 45 (30)

Average sale price: $220,990 ($237,075)

Median sale price: $215,000 ($234,900)

High: 430K (5bd/3,698 sq. ft. home)

Low: 65K (1bd/593 sq. ft. home)

Square Feet

# of homes sold in the last month in Tracy

Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price

1,000 to 1,400

19

$150,000

$150,232

1,500 to 2,000

24

$192,500

$197,650

2,000 to 4,000

51

$278,000

$279,970

Mountain House, CA

 ACTIVE Status

Total # of residential properties for sale in the city of Mountain House: 109 (106)

# of REO (foreclosures): 13 (13)

# of Short Sales: 68 (71)

Average # of days on market: 66 (32)

The median price of all homes for sale in Mountain House: $316,000 ($292,450)

The average price of all homes for sale in Mountain House: $332,439 ($308,440)

Lowest priced home: 1bd/1,112 sq. ft. /$80,000

Highest priced home: 6bd/4,462 sq. ft. /$470,000

Square Feet

# of homes for sale in Mountain House

Median List Price

Average List Price

1,000 to 1,400

5

$229,900

$218,080

1,500 to 2,000

10

$242,900

$249,045

2,000 to 4,000

19

$380,000

$375,918

 PENDING Status

Number of properties currently under agreement: 81 (90)

# of REO: 13 (13)
# of Short Sales: 49 (53)

Average pending price: $298,427 ($303,545)

 Average pending home is 4 bedrooms, 2,491 square feet at a price of $298,427 that stays 54 days on the market.

Square Feet

# of homes pending in Mountain House

Median Pending Price

Average Pending Price

1,000 to 1,400

8

$189,450

$186,668

1,500 to 2,000

6

$237,500

$235,500

2,000 to 4,000

62

$319,950

$328,248

 SOLD Status

Residential property sold over previous 30 days: 22 homes or $7,041,208 in sales (20 homes or $6,573,300 in sales)

REO’s sold in the last month: 2 (8)

Short sales sold in the last month: 8 (4)

Average sale price: $320,055 ($328,665)

Median sale price: $356,250 ($319,700)

High: $456,058 (5bd/3,634 sq. ft. home)

Low: $146K (2bd/1,262 sq. ft. home)

Square Feet

# of homes sold in the last month in Mountain House

Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price

1,000 to 1,400

3

$152,000

$152,667

1,500 to 2,000

2

$243,000

$243,000

2,000 to 4,000

16

$372,500

$370,451

 Lathrop, CA

 ACTIVE Status

Total # of residential properties for sale in the city of Lathrop: 133 (120)

# of REO (foreclosures): 27 (26)

# of Short Sales: 84 (75)

Average # of days on market: 70 (45)

The median price of all homes for sale in Lathrop: $197,900 ($189,900)

The average price of all homes for sale in Lathrop: $208,094 ($252,508)

Lowest priced home: 2bd/728 sq. ft. /$35,000

Highest priced home: 5bd/4,165 sq. ft. /$2,500,000

Square Feet

# of homes for sale in Lathrop

Median List Price

Average List Price

1,000 to 1,400

15

$134,900

$147,590

1,500 to 2,000

16

$179,950

$184,334

2,000 to 4,000

19

$236,956

$241,706

 PENDING Status

Number of properties currently under agreement: 76 (93)

# of REO: 30 (33)

# of Short Sales: 24 (34)

Average pending price: $197,343 ($191,891)

 Average pending home is 4 bedrooms, 2,307 square feet at a price of $197,343 that stays 45 days on the market.

Square Feet

# of homes pending in Lathrop

Median Pending Price

Average Pending Price

1,000 to 1,400

10

$135,900

$130,968

1,500 to 2,000

12

$160,950

$163,068

2,000 to 4,000

49

$214,500

$222,224

SOLD Status

Residential property sold over previous 30 days: 26 homes or $5,015,400 in sales (18 homes or $3,838,800 in sales)

REO’s sold in the last month: 12 (9)

Short sales sold in the last month: 3 (2)

Average sale price: $192,900 ($191,660)

Median sale price: $200,000 ($190,500)

High: 296K (6bd/3,743 sq. ft. home)

Low: $104,500 (3bd/1,144 sq. ft. home)

Square Feet

# of homes sold in the last month in Lathrop

Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price

1,000 to 1,400

6

$141,000

$136,150

1,500 to 2,000

4

$168,500

$169,250

2,000 to 4,000

17

$210,000

$220,471

Weston Ranch, CA

 ACTIVE Status

Total # of residential properties for sale in Weston Ranch: 159 (156)

# of REO (foreclosures): 41 (37)

# of Short Sales: 86 (89)

Average # of days on market: 66 (67)

The median price of all homes for sale in Weston Ranch: $154,900 ($164,900)

The average price of all homes for sale in Weston Ranch: $163,972 ($176,870)

Lowest priced home: 1bd/683 sq. ft./$27,800

Highest priced home: 6bd/3,376 sq. ft./$430,00

Square Feet

# of homes for sale in Weston Ranch

Median List Price

Average List Price

1,000 to 1,400

4

$134,000

$134,450

1,500 to 2,000

33

$149,900

$154,401

2,000 to 4,000

31

$189,900

$202,340

 PENDING Status

Number of properties currently under agreement: 235 (76)

# of REO: 64 (33)

# of Short Sales: 133 (27)

Average pending price: $224,296 ($150,763)

 Average pending home is 4 bedrooms, 1,997 square feet at a price of $224,296 that stays 42 days on the market.

Square Feet

# of homes pending in Weston Ranch

Median Pending Price

Average Pending Price

1,000 to 1,400

7

$115,000

$119,514

1,500 to 2,000

23

$140,000

$141,095

2,000 to 4,000

31

$169,000

$170,852

SOLD Status

Residential property sold over previous 30 days: 27 homes or $4,402,650 in sales (28 homes or $4,031,405 in sales)

Short sales sold in the last month: 9 (5)

REO’s sold in the last month: 10 (15)

Average sale price: $163,061 ($143,979)

Median sale price: $159,900 ($148,750)

High: 222K (5bd/3,376 sq. ft. home)

(190K (5bd/2,905 sq. ft. home))

Low: 115K (3bd/1,440 sq. ft. home)

($1,205 (3bd/1,315 sq. ft. home))

Square Feet

# of homes sold in the last month in Weston Ranch

Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price

1,000 to 1,400

0

Within the last 30 days no homes have sold within this square footage range

1,500 to 2,000

9

$135,000

$143,794

2,000 to 4,000

16

$187,500

$183,469

 

Is Now a good time to buy?

IS NOW A GOOD TIME TO BUY?  YES, EVEN IF PRICES CONTINUE TO DROP

And here is why……  I know prices are dropping still (although last month they went up slightly) but is this a good time to buy?  The answer is a resounding YES.  If you bought a $200,000 dollar home (and for the purpose of illustration obtained a $200,000 loan), and that house drops 10% in the next year the math is easy, you just lost $20,000   BUT - and this is a big BUT - if you obtained a loan today for that house at 4.25%, and if that same loan in one year costs 6% then the difference in payment is a lot LESS if you buy the house now.  ($200k @ 4.25% = $984 / $200k @ 6.0% = $1,199) for a difference of $215 every month  Over 30 years that difference is a whopping $77,400!  One thing we have been assured of is that interest rates have to and eventually will be going up as the economy improves.

The "Summer Slide"

The "Summer Slide"

Studies have shown that summer vacations take a steep toll on our kids academic knowledge base. Deprived of healthy stimulation, millions of low-income kids lose a significant amount of what they learn during the school year. Call it "summer learning loss," as the academics do, or "the summer slide," but by any name, summer vacation is among the most pernicious, if least acknowledged causes of achievement gaps in America's schools. Children with access to high-quality experiences keep exercising their minds and bodies at sleep-away camps, on family vacations, in museums and libraries and enrichment classes. Meanwhile, children without resources languish on street corners or in front of glowing screens, nunchuck or controller in-hand. By the time the bell rings on a new school year, the poorer kids have fallen weeks, if not months, behind. And even well-off American students may be falling behind their peers around the world.

The problem of summer vacation, first documented in 1906, compounds year after year. What starts as a hiccup in a 6-year-old's education can be a crisis by the time that child reaches high school. After collecting a century's worth of academic studies, summer-learning expert Harris Cooper, now at Duke University, concluded that, on average, all students lose about a month of progress in math skills each summer, while low-income students slip as many as three months in reading comprehension, compared with middle-income students. Another major study, by a team at Johns Hopkins University, examined more than 20 years of data meticulously tracking the progress of students from kindergarten through high school. The conclusion: while students made similar progress during the school year, regardless of economic status, the better-off kids held steady or continued to make progress during the summer, but disadvantaged students fell back. By the end of grammar school, low-income students had fallen nearly three grade levels behind, and summer was the biggest culprit. By ninth grade, summer learning loss could be blamed for roughly two-thirds of the achievement gap separating income groups.

"There is an idyllic view of summer, but we've known for decades that the reality is very different for a lot of underprivileged kids," says Ron Fairchild, CEO of a nonprofit organization in Baltimore called the National Summer Learning Association. "We expect that athletes and musicians would see their performance suffer without practice. Well, the same is true of students." Fairchild and his organization are part of a growing movement to stop the summer slide by coordinating, expanding and improving summer enrichment programs especially for low-income children. Supporters range across the political spectrum to call attention to the issue. Some of the nation's largest private donors including the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Wallace Foundation, the Charles Stewart Mott Foundation and the Atlantic Philanthropies are putting their muscle into the cause.

The romance of summer is so ingrained that this flock of reformers might remind some readers of a character from Tom Sawyer's world, the wealthy Widow Douglas, who "introduced [Huckleberry Finn] into society, no, dragged him into it, hurled him into it and his sufferings were almost more than he could bear. The widow's servants kept him clean and neat, combed and brushed ... The bars and shackles of civilization shut him in and bound him hand and foot." As our modern-day reformers strive to civilize summer as an educational resource, the trick is to seize the opportunity without destroying what's best about the season: the possibility of fun and freedom and play.

Contact Information

The Barringer Team
Century 21 M&M and Associates
912 W 11th Street
Tracy CA 95376
Toll Free: 800-894-7282
Fax: 209-229-7426
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